What do prediction markets say about "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026?"?

According to Predictagon, the current probability for "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026?" is 65%.

What are the current odds for "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026?"?

The Yes probability is currently 65%, meaning markets assign a 65% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 35%. Trading volume is $0.

What do prediction markets say about "Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy Impact"?

According to Predictagon, the current probability for "Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy Impact" is 80%. This market resolves on 12/31/2026.

What are the current odds for "Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy Impact"?

The Yes probability is currently 80%, meaning markets assign a 80% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 20%.

GINAI

Broadcast

Markets

U.S. payrolls rose by 178,000 in March, more than expected; unemployment at 4.3%

Q: What are the current odds for "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026 because U.S. CPI year-over-year falls below 2.2% by December 2026?"?

The Yes probability is currently 30%, meaning markets assign a 30% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 70%. Trading volume is $0.

CNBCApril 3, 2026 at 1:35 PMBullish1 min read

Key Takeaways

1178,000 jobs added in March, exceeding expectations.
2Unemployment rate fell to 4.3%.
3Strong jobs report supports Fed's hawkish stance.

Market Pulse

DIRECT HIT

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026?

Predictagon

Yes 65%No 35%

Vol: $0

View on Predictagon

DIRECT HIT

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least three times in 2026 because U.S. CPI year-over-year falls below 2.2% by December 2026?

Predictagon

Yes 30%No 70%

Vol: $0

View on Predictagon

DIRECT HIT

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy Impact

Predictagon

Yes 80%No 20%

Ends: 12/31/2026

View on Predictagon

See all predictions on Predictagon

U.S. employers added a robust 178,000 jobs in March, surpassing analyst expectations and signaling continued strength in the labor market. The unemployment rate also ticked down to 4.3%, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. This positive jobs report suggests sustained economic growth, potentially leading to further rate hikes and impacting inflation outlooks. Investors should monitor upcoming Fed statements for clues on monetary policy adjustments.