What do prediction markets say about "Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach a new all-time high above $73,798.00 before October 1, 2026?"?

According to Predictagon, the current probability for "Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach a new all-time high above $73,798.00 before October 1, 2026?" is 70%.

What do prediction markets say about "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?"?

According to Polymarket, the current probability for "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?" is 0%. This market resolves on 12/31/2025.

What are the current odds for "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?"?

The Yes probability is currently 0%, meaning markets assign a 0% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 100%. Trading volume is $17,976,158.

What do prediction markets say about "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?"?

According to Polymarket, the current probability for "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?" is 11%. This market resolves on 7/1/2026.

What are the current odds for "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?"?

The Yes probability is currently 11%, meaning markets assign a 11% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 89%. Trading volume is $454,116.

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Market Data

$BTC Markets

Bitcoin Slides With Risk Assets as Trump’s Iran Ultimatum Looms

Q: What are the current odds for "Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach a new all-time high above $73,798.00 before October 1, 2026?"?

The Yes probability is currently 70%, meaning markets assign a 70% chance of this outcome occurring. The No probability is 30%. Trading volume is $0.

BloombergApril 7, 2026 at 5:19 AMBearish1 min read

Key Takeaways

1Bitcoin fell in tandem with other risk assets.
2The decline is attributed to geopolitical tensions surrounding Trump's ultimatum to Iran.

Market Pulse

DIRECT HIT

Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach a new all-time high above $73,798.00 before October 1, 2026?

Predictagon

Yes 70%No 30%

Vol: $0

View on Predictagon

DIRECT HIT

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Predictagon

Yes 0%No 100%

Vol: $17,976,158Ends: 12/31/2025

View on Predictagon

DIRECT HIT

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Predictagon

Yes 11%No 89%

Vol: $454,116Ends: 7/1/2026

View on Predictagon

See all predictions on Predictagon

Bitcoin experienced a downturn alongside broader risk assets, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions stemming from Trump's ultimatum to Iran. This reflects Bitcoin's growing correlation with traditional markets, particularly during periods of global uncertainty. Investors are seeking safer havens, pulling capital from speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. The immediate future for Bitcoin hinges on de-escalation or escalation of the Iran-US conflict, as well as broader market sentiment towards risk.

Bitcoin Slides With Risk Assets as Trump’s Iran Ultimatum Looms

Key Takeaways

Market Pulse

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